Agentic AI is making waves in the tech world. Some say it’s the next big thing in artificial intelligence. But how much of this is real progress, and how much is just hype?
In a recent episode of the Chain of Thought podcast, host Conor Bronsdon, Head of Developer Awareness at Galileo, sat down with Kelly Vaughn, Director of Engineering at Spot AI, to discuss the hype vs reality debate of Agentic AI.
Not one to shy away from a hot take, Vaughn immediately asserted that: “Yes, Agentic AI is a bubble.”
Together, they explore what this “bubble” means for Agentic AI, the hurdles AI currently faces, and how businesses can navigate this crowded field without getting lost in the noise.
Agentic AI represents a paradigm shift from traditional AI systems, focusing on creating autonomous agents capable of making decisions based on specific objectives. These agents employ a form of reasoning that adapts to different scenarios, moving beyond the rigid frameworks of conventional programming.
The push for open standards for multi-agentic systems supports this shift, ensuring interoperability and consistency across different AI platforms.
Unlike its predecessors that relied on explicit instructions, Agentic AI interacts dynamically with its environment, learning and adjusting through sophisticated algorithms, often implemented via specialized Agentic AI frameworks.
The technology's appeal lies in its ability to handle repetitive, time-consuming tasks, allowing humans to focus on more creative and strategic initiatives. From transcribing meetings to organizing information, these systems demonstrate impressive versatility across industries. However, Vaughn cautions against overhyping its capabilities: "AI isn't magic despite what people want it to be."
AI note-takers exemplify Agentic AI's practical applications, becoming essential tools in virtual meetings by transcribing conversations and summarizing key points. These applications showcase how AI can transform routine tasks into streamlined processes, enhancing productivity without completely removing human oversight.
Beyond note-taking, Agentic AI powers customer service bots, virtual assistants, and security systems capable of autonomous operation and enhancing human interaction. These implementations demonstrate the technology's adaptability and potential to revolutionize various sectors by handling tasks previously requiring significant human input.
The strategic integration of Agentic AI into existing workflows offers organizations a competitive edge in fast-moving markets. By automating the mundane, these systems enable professionals to concentrate on higher-value activities, though, as Vaughn reminds us, “their effectiveness ultimately depends on understanding both their capabilities and limitations.”
The market for AI note-taking solutions has exploded in recent years, creating a landscape crowded with competing products. "There are more than eighteen of these different AI note-takers," Vaughn observes, illustrating just how congested this niche has become.
This proliferation stems from the growing mainstream acceptance of AI and the relative ease of implementing machine learning into common productivity tasks.
Venture capital has poured into this space, fueling a race among startups to capture market share. Many companies launch with similar value propositions, focusing on automating meeting notes and enhancing productivity through AI assistance. The rapid development cycle in AI technology enables quick entry into the market, but also leads to diminishing differentiation.
The accessibility of foundational language models has lowered barriers to entry, allowing more startups to build note-taking applications without developing core AI capabilities from scratch. This democratization of AI technology, while beneficial for innovation, has contributed to market oversaturation and made it increasingly difficult for consumers to identify truly superior products.
For startups in the AI note-taking space, standing out requires more than incremental improvements to existing features. Bronsdon highlights how many companies follow trends set by influential incubators like Y Combinator, resulting in waves of similar products. "Ninety percent of startups struggle to stand out," pointing to the challenge of differentiation in a crowded marketplace.
Sustainable success demands continuous innovation that addresses evolving user needs rather than chasing fleeting technological trends. Many startups falter because they focus on being first to market without a strategy for maintaining relevance through consistent improvement and adaptation to user feedback.
Overpromising capabilities has become a common pitfall, eroding trust and credibility with users who encounter the gap between marketing claims and actual performance. Vaughn's observation that we need "the AI notetaker for all AI notetakers" humorously underscores the market's redundancy while highlighting the need for solutions that genuinely advance the state of the art.
Venture capital plays a pivotal role in fueling the current AI boom, particularly around Agentic AI technologies. The promise of outsized returns attracts investors to bold AI projects, creating a self-reinforcing cycle of funding and hype. "This is how the venture capital cycle works," Bronsdon explains, highlighting how VC funding patterns can amplify trends regardless of market readiness.
Many startups fall victim to the "first to market" fallacy, racing to claim territory without developing sustainable competitive advantages. "Being first to market doesn't mean you're going to stay first to market," Vaughn cautions, highlighting that initial positioning means little without continued evolution and value delivery.
The pressure to demonstrate rapid growth to secure additional funding rounds often leads to premature scaling, forcing startups to expand before they've fully refined their product or business model. This artificial acceleration contributes to the high failure rate among AI startups, as companies burn through capital trying to maintain unsustainable growth trajectories.
In addition, this investment enthusiasm often prioritizes potential financial returns over addressing genuine market needs, leading to waves of startups chasing similar objectives. Y Combinator and other influential incubators effectively set the agenda for what's considered innovative, creating a herd mentality among founders seeking funding and recognition.
The influence of venture capital can fundamentally alter founders' priorities, shifting focus from problem-solving to exit strategies. Vaughn explained that after raising capital, founders often transition from thinking about building valuable products to calculating potential returns: "Your mind shifts to how much money can I make from this?"
This reorientation can lead startups away from addressing customer needs and toward chasing whatever generates the most attention in the market. Companies begin "building for the sake of what is making the most noise," as Vaughn puts it, rather than solving substantive problems that might attract less immediate attention but create more lasting value.
The pressure to deliver returns within the timeframe expected by venture capitalists can undermine the authentic passion needed to persist through the inevitable challenges of building innovative technology.
Founders who remain anchored to the problems they genuinely care about solving tend to make more thoughtful decisions that serve both their users and their business's long-term viability.
Successful AI startups distinguish themselves by addressing authentic user needs rather than chasing technological trends. Vaughn cuts to the heart of this issue by asking whether companies are solving "a customer's problem, or is this a fun little gimmick?" This fundamental question separates sustainable businesses from those riding temporary waves of enthusiasm.
The most resilient AI companies focus on specific industries where automation delivers measurable value, avoiding oversaturated markets. Vaughn notes that in some sectors, like plumbing, there may not be pressing needs for AI solutions, highlighting the importance of matching technology to genuine requirements rather than forcing applications where they don't fit.
Integrating robust feedback mechanisms throughout development and deployment proves crucial for AI startup success. Utilizing appropriate metrics for evaluating AI agents enables companies to measure and improve AI performance over time.
Many companies falter because they fail to establish these essential feedback channels, missing opportunities to refine their offerings based on real-world usage.
The rapid evolution of AI technology demands continuous adaptation and improvement based on user interactions and changing requirements. Startups must "keep on iterating on an AI-enabled product" as Vaughn advises, to maintain relevance and effectiveness in a dynamic marketplace where user expectations constantly shift.
Effective feedback loops create virtuous cycles of improvement, where each iteration brings the product closer to optimal functionality for its intended users. Companies that excel at listening to users and translating that feedback into meaningful enhancements build trust and loyalty that sustains them through competitive challenges and technological shifts.
Effective AI implementations enhance existing workflows without overpromising capabilities or complete transformations, thereby leveraging AI for business value. "AI can be a very good augmentation tool, but it's not going to replace your team," Vaughn emphasizes, pointing to the complementary role AI should play in supporting human workers rather than attempting to replace them entirely.
Standing out in the crowded AI marketplace requires more than marginal improvements to existing solutions. Vaughn observes that “many startups fail precisely because they lack distinctive differentiation from competitors offering essentially identical services,” creating confusion for potential customers trying to select the right tool.
The problem intensifies when multiple companies pursue similar technological visions driven by investor expectations rather than authentic founder conviction. This tendency toward homogeneity leads to markets saturated with interchangeable products that struggle to articulate their unique value propositions.
Founders who maintain a connection to their original mission and genuine enthusiasm for solving specific problems demonstrate greater resilience through market fluctuations.
Vaughn advises entrepreneurs to “avoid getting distracted by purely financial motivations”, as authentic passion provides the sustained energy necessary to overcome obstacles and continue innovating when others might pivot or abandon their vision.
As Agentic AI continues to evolve, organizations must develop strategies to separate genuine innovation from marketing hyperbole. The future of AI implementation will increasingly depend on tools that provide transparency and measurability, ensuring businesses can quantify their return on AI investments rather than chasing vague promises of transformation.
As you navigate the complex landscape of building AI tools and platforms, consider exploring Galileo's platform for evaluating and monitoring your AI applications effectively. Galileo provides the data-driven insights necessary to make informed decisions about which AI monitoring and evaluation technologies truly deliver value for your specific needs.
Don't miss the full podcast with Bronsdon and Vaughn for an even deeper exploration of AI hype cycles, market dynamics, and practical implementation strategies. Their candid, experience-driven insights offer invaluable guidance for anyone looking to separate AI reality from the surrounding noise.
Be sure to check out other Chain of Thought episodes, where industry leaders share their stories, strategies, and practical techniques for leveraging Generative AI. These conversations provide the context and clarity needed to make smarter AI investments in today's rapidly evolving landscape.